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Brighton – Crystal Palace

Premier League · October 18, 2026

Brighton 5–0 Crystal Palace

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 56% X · 25% 2 · Crystal Palace 19%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score55%
Expected goals1.86 – 1.03
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 18, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.