Certor

Brighton – Fulham

Premier League · October 29, 2023

Brighton 1–1 Fulham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 64% X · 19% 2 · Fulham 17%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals2.08 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 28, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.