Certor

Brighton – Luton

Premier League · August 12, 2023

Brighton 4–1 Luton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 66% X · 19% 2 · Luton 15%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals2.11 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.