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Brighton – Man City

Premier League · April 25, 2024

Brighton 0–4 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 22% X · 22% 2 · Man City 56%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.11 – 1.91
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 20, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.