Certor

Brighton – Southampton

Premier League · November 29, 2024

Brighton 1–1 Southampton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Brighton 65% X · 21% 2 · Southampton 14%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals2.06 – 0.84
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 23, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.