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Burnley – Arsenal

Premier League · November 1, 2025

Burnley 0–2 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Burnley 10% X · 18% 2 · Arsenal 72%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals0.67 – 2.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.