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Burnley – Chelsea

Premier League · November 22, 2025

Burnley 0–2 Chelsea

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Burnley 17% X · 20% 2 · Chelsea 63%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.05 – 2.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.