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Burnley – Fulham

Premier League · February 3, 2024

Burnley 2–2 Fulham

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Burnley 32% X · 25% 2 · Fulham 43%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.21 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.