Burnley – Man City
Premier League · April 22, 2026
Burnley
0–1
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Burnley 9%
X · 17%
2 · Man City 74%
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Expected goals | 0.76 – 2.47 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 18, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.