Certor

Burnley – Man United

Premier League · September 23, 2023

Burnley 0–1 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Burnley 21% X · 23% 2 · Man United 56%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.