Burnley – Man United
Premier League · January 7, 2026
Burnley
2–2
Man United
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Burnley 21%
X · 23%
2 · Man United 56%
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 1.94 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.