Certor

Cagliari – Atalanta

Serie A · April 27, 2026

Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 20% X · 24% 2 · Atalanta 56%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals0.95 – 1.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 25, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.