Certor

Cagliari – Fiorentina

Serie A · May 23, 2024

Cagliari 2–3 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 23% X · 27% 2 · Fiorentina 50%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.00 – 1.57
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 18, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.