Certor

Cagliari – Genoa

Serie A · March 7, 2025

Cagliari 1–1 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 37% X · 31% 2 · Genoa 32%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.16 – 1.06
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 1, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.