Certor

Cagliari – Genoa

Serie A · November 22, 2025

Cagliari 3–3 Genoa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 36% X · 32% 2 · Genoa 32%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.