Certor

Cagliari – Lecce

Serie A · January 19, 2025

Cagliari 4–1 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 40% X · 30% 2 · Lecce 30%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals1.27 – 1.04
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.