Certor

Cagliari – Milan

Serie A · September 27, 2023

Cagliari 1–3 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 17% X · 24% 2 · Milan 59%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals0.89 – 1.83
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 23, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.