Certor

Cagliari – Milan

Serie A · January 2, 2026

Cagliari 0–1 Milan

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 20% X · 25% 2 · Milan 55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.97 – 1.73
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.