Certor

Cagliari – Napoli

Serie A · September 15, 2024

Cagliari 0–4 Napoli

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 15% X · 22% 2 · Napoli 63%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals0.86 – 2.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.