Certor

Cagliari – Pisa

Serie A · December 21, 2025

Cagliari 2–2 Pisa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 46% X · 34% 2 · Pisa 20%
Over 2.5 goals25%
Both teams to score32%
Expected goals1.09 – 0.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.