Certor

Cagliari – Roma

Serie A · October 8, 2023

Cagliari 1–4 Roma

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cagliari 20% X · 25% 2 · Roma 55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score52%
Expected goals0.96 – 1.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 7, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.