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Casa Pia – Arouca

Primeira Liga · December 20, 2024

Casa Pia 3–1 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Casa Pia 41% X · 28% 2 · Arouca 31%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 14, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.