Casa Pia – Benfica
Primeira Liga · April 6, 2026
Casa Pia
1–1
Benfica
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Casa Pia 11%
X · 17%
2 · Benfica 72%
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 0.70 – 2.23 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 3, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.