Certor

Casa Pia – Estoril

Primeira Liga · October 3, 2025

Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Casa Pia 43% X · 26% 2 · Estoril 31%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.39 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.