Casa Pia – Estrela
Primeira Liga · November 1, 2025
Casa Pia
3–5
Estrela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Casa Pia 50%
X · 28%
2 · Estrela 22%
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 0.76 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 31, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.