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Casa Pia – Nacional

Primeira Liga · August 30, 2025

Casa Pia 0–2 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Casa Pia 52% X · 25% 2 · Nacional 23%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals1.49 – 0.88
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.