Certor

Casa Pia – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · October 10, 2026

Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Casa Pia 33% X · 29% 2 · Santa Clara 38%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals0.98 – 1.07
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.