Casa Pia – Tondela
Primeira Liga · May 3, 2026
Casa Pia
0–1
Tondela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Casa Pia 49%
X · 26%
2 · Tondela 25%
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Expected goals | 1.44 – 0.93 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 2, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.