Certor

Celta – Alaves

La Liga · September 28, 2023

Celta 1–1 Alaves

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Celta 58% X · 26% 2 · Alaves 16%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score39%
Expected goals1.55 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.