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Chaves – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · December 17, 2023

Chaves 1–3 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chaves 39% X · 28% 2 · Casa Pia 33%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.00
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 15, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.