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Chaves – Gil Vicente

Primeira Liga · October 7, 2023

Chaves 4–2 Gil Vicente

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chaves 36% X · 26% 2 · Gil Vicente 38%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals1.20 – 1.25
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 7, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.