Chelsea – Aston Villa
Premier League · September 24, 2023
Chelsea
0–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Chelsea 46%
X · 25%
2 · Aston Villa 29%
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 1.39 – 1.03 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 23, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.