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Chelsea – Bournemouth

Premier League · October 10, 2026

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 43% X · 25% 2 · Bournemouth 32%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score64%
Expected goals1.74 – 1.46
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.