Certor

Chelsea – Everton

Premier League · April 26, 2025

Chelsea 1–0 Everton

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 54% X · 24% 2 · Everton 22%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals1.69 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 26, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.