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Chelsea – Leicester

Premier League · March 9, 2025

Chelsea 1–0 Leicester

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 70% X · 17% 2 · Leicester 13%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.49 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 8, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.