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Chelsea – Man City

Premier League · November 12, 2023

Chelsea 4–4 Man City

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 21% X · 23% 2 · Man City 56%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.88 – 1.66
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 11, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.