Chelsea – Man City
Premier League · April 12, 2026
Chelsea
0–3
Man City
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Chelsea 28%
X · 26%
2 · Man City 46%
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Expected goals | 1.27 – 1.67 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 10, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.