Certor

Chelsea – Man United

Premier League · April 4, 2024

Chelsea 4–3 Man United

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 43% X · 24% 2 · Man United 33%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals1.61 – 1.38
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.