Certor

Chelsea – Newcastle

Premier League · October 27, 2024

Chelsea 2–1 Newcastle

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Chelsea 48% X · 22% 2 · Newcastle 30%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score67%
Expected goals1.97 – 1.52
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 26, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.