Certor

Como – Lecce

Serie A · February 28, 2026

Como 3–1 Lecce

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Como 64% X · 24% 2 · Lecce 12%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score40%
Expected goals1.78 – 0.64
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.