Certor

Cremonese – Fiorentina

Serie A · March 16, 2026

Cremonese 1–4 Fiorentina

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cremonese 20% X · 26% 2 · Fiorentina 54%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals0.91 – 1.63
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 14, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.