Certor

Cremonese – Lazio

Serie A · May 4, 2026

Cremonese 1–2 Lazio

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Cremonese 17% X · 24% 2 · Lazio 59%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals0.84 – 1.75
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.