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Crystal Palace – Aston Villa

Premier League · May 19, 2024

Crystal Palace 5–0 Aston Villa

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Crystal Palace 38% X · 26% 2 · Aston Villa 36%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.35 – 1.30
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 19, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.