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Crystal Palace – Brentford

Premier League · December 30, 2023

Crystal Palace 3–1 Brentford

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Crystal Palace 40% X · 26% 2 · Brentford 34%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.25 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.