Certor

Crystal Palace – Burnley

Premier League · February 24, 2024

Crystal Palace 3–0 Burnley

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Crystal Palace 54% X · 25% 2 · Burnley 21%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score47%
Expected goals1.59 – 0.89
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 24, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.