Certor

Darmstadt – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · March 16, 2024

Darmstadt 2–5 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Darmstadt 4% X · 10% 2 · Bayern Munich 86%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals0.79 – 3.45
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 16, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.