Certor

Darmstadt – Dortmund

Bundesliga · January 13, 2024

Darmstadt 0–3 Dortmund

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Darmstadt 12% X · 17% 2 · Dortmund 71%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.15 – 2.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 12, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.