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Dortmund – Augsburg

Bundesliga · March 8, 2025

Dortmund 0–1 Augsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 70% X · 19% 2 · Augsburg 11%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals2.49 – 0.96
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 7, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.