Certor

Dortmund – Bayern Munich

Bundesliga · November 4, 2023

Dortmund 0–4 Bayern Munich

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Dortmund 30% X · 22% 2 · Bayern Munich 48%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams to score74%
Expected goals1.73 – 2.19
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 3, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.