Dortmund – Bayern Munich
Bundesliga · February 28, 2026
Dortmund
2–3
Bayern Munich
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Dortmund 24%
X · 21%
2 · Bayern Munich 55%
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Both teams to score | 71% |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 2.32 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 27, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.